LootCounterPirate Token Odds Calculator
Calculate the chance of at least one success across multiple independent chest openings. Change the rate to explore a different assumption.
Formula: 1 − (1 − 1 / denominator) ^ chests. Each attempt uses the same probability. This is a model, not a guarantee.
| Chests opened | Selected rate | 1 / 700,000 assumption |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.0727% | 0.0143% |
| 1,000 | 0.7246% | 0.1428% |
| 10,000 | 7.0146% | 1.4184% |
| 50,000 | 30.4857% | 6.8937% |
Which rate should I use?
Epic lists Pirate Shop Access at 1 in 137,500 per chest in normal matches. That is the calculator’s default. Treasure Hours use different rates; consult the current official notice before adjusting this field.
Read Epic’s official drop ratesThe 1 in 700,000 column is an illustrative comparison, not an official or independently verified drop rate.
Your next chest has no memory.
Under the independent-draw model, unsuccessful attempts do not improve the chance of the next chest. A cumulative percentage is not a promise that a reward will appear by that count. Do not multiply squad counts into personal reward odds without confirming the game’s eligibility rules.